11th trading week (13th – 17th of March 2023 trade journal)

My reason for keeping a journal is to encourage traders to also keep one for two major reasons:

  1. Track weekly trading performance.
  2. To have enough date to be able to work on their trading technique and psychology

Both can only be done when you keep a comprehensive journal, and review it every week.

 

MONDAY (13/03/2023)

CAD/JPY (10.02 am)

A chart showing a sell entry on the Canadian dollar vs the Japanese Yen

Analysis: The reason I sold CAD/JPY can be seen on our weekly analysis. The Fibonacci golden ratio gave our analysis additional confirmation

 

CAD/JPY update (11.12 am)

Analysis: I applied trailing SL immediately price hit my first tp, and that happened under 60 minutes.. Closed the trade with +82 pips

 

GBP/JPY (2 pm)

Analysis: My reason for selling was because the support zone and 200 ma was broken.

 

GBP/JPY daily time-frame

Analysis: The daily time frame has shown that daily candlesticks always gets rejected at the green support level. I was carried away by the breakout on the 4 hour time frame, not properly scrutinizing the daily time frame.

Thankfully I got out with -57 pips, and this erased all the profits I initially made on CAD/JPY, so I am currently less than -0.2% down in capital

 

 

TUESDAY (14/03/2023)

CAD/JPY (6.02 pm)

Analysis: I shared this setup on our Wednesday market analysis. That’s the reason I am selling. The only difference here is that I am selling about 4 hours earlier

 

 

WEDNESDAY (15/03/2023)

CAD/JPY Update (10.02 am)

Analysis: Added a second position at the close of the 6am candlestick

 

CAD/JPY Update (10.50 am)

Analysis: Closed the trade with +202 pips.  I did not wait for price to hit my tp

 

 

CHF/JPY (9.30 am)

Analysis: I am selling CHF/JPY based on our Thursday market analysis

 

THURSDAY(16/03/2023)

CHF/JPY  Update (3.30am)

Closed the trade at breakeven after I noticed there was reversal patterns forming on the 4 hour time frame, and there was no considerable bearish move

 

 

USD/JPY (9.30 pm)

Analysis: I am buying USD/JPY based on our Friday market analysis

 

 

FRIDAY (17/03/2023)

Analysis: My reason for selling is because price has reached a key resistance zone, again price is close to the 200 ma, so I expect a reversal or a deep pullback

 

NZD/USD Update (3.50 pm)

I closed the NU trade at breakeven. This was decided by 2 pm, after noticing that the bears appeared weak as there was no significant bearish news and the USD high impact news was scheduled for 3 pm.

 

USD/JPY Update (4 pm)

Analysis: I had to make my SL tighter since we got into the high impact news announcement (3 pm), and the bulls were nowhere to be found. I closed the trade with a -189 pips loss

 

 

Trade activity summary for the week

DATE PAIRS BUY/SELL PIPS MADE/LOST
MON (06/03/2023) CAD/JPY SELL  +82 pips
GBP/JPY SELL  -57 pips
TUE (14/03/2023) CAD/JPY SELL  +202 pips
WED (15/03/2023) CHF/JPY SELL Breakeven
THUS (16/03/2023) USD/JPY BUY  -189 pips
FRI (17/03/2023) NZD/USD SELL Breakeven
TOTAL  + 38 pips

 

 

In conclusion:

If there was anything I would try and correct in the future, it would be my GBP/JPY trade. It had all the characteristics of a great setup, just that it was not sufficiently analyzed on the daily time frame.

Secondly, I would not blame my taking the USD/JPY trade, but I will blame myself for holding it that long. I took the trade on Thursday evening (close to the Asian session). All through the Asian session there was no significant move, that should have made me drop the trade because it had exceeded its shelf life, so it fell under the category of expired trade. The same thing happened to NZD/USD and CHF/JPY, and I was happy I dropped them because they would have gone against me.

The same thing happened with the NZD/JPY trade last week (the carry over trade). I took the trade the previous week and after the Asian session I could have easily dropped the trade when there was no move, but I held on to it and closed it with a loss that swallowed my last week’s profits.

Cutting off a high probability trade is extremely difficult especially when you have hard records of such trades doing extremely well, but we will learn.

I closed the week with – 0.08% loss, hence me marking the +38 pips RED

 

How did your trading week go? 

 

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